Found in the data
Detected movements
Movements found automatically in the archive — no editorial selection, no commentary. If a curve inverted or two countries changed places, it appears here because the data says so.
Thresholds are deliberately conservative. A 2s10s reading of −0.01 points is a rounded zero, not an inverted curve, so sign changes must clear a margin before they count. A feed that cries wolf is a feed nobody reads. Subscribe by RSS.
2026
- OBMMI — LTV ≤80, FICO <680 moved +0.162pp in a day to 7.099% Large moveA notable single-day move — from 6.937% to 7.099% (pp = percentage points, not per cent).
- OBMMI — 15-Year Fixed Rate Conforming moved +0.162pp in a day to 6.292% Large moveA notable single-day move — from 6.13% to 6.292% (pp = percentage points, not per cent).
- OBMMI — LTV >80, FICO 680–699 moved -0.159pp in a day to 6.816% Large moveA notable single-day move — from 6.975% to 6.816% (pp = percentage points, not per cent).
- OBMMI — LTV >80, FICO 680–699 moved -0.153pp in a day to 6.773% Large moveA notable single-day move — from 6.926% to 6.773% (pp = percentage points, not per cent).
- OBMMI — LTV ≤80, FICO <680 moved -0.170pp in a day to 6.745% Large moveA notable single-day move — from 6.915% to 6.745% (pp = percentage points, not per cent).
- OBMMI — LTV ≤80, FICO 720–739 moved -0.168pp in a day to 6.547% Large moveA notable single-day move — from 6.715% to 6.547% (pp = percentage points, not per cent).
- OBMMI — LTV ≤80, FICO 680–699 moved -0.158pp in a day to 6.674% Large moveA notable single-day move — from 6.832% to 6.674% (pp = percentage points, not per cent).
- OBMMI — LTV ≤80, FICO 680–699 moved +0.192pp in a day to 6.898% Large moveA notable single-day move — from 6.706% to 6.898% (pp = percentage points, not per cent).
- OBMMI — LTV ≤80, FICO 720–739 moved +0.150pp in a day to 6.795% Large moveA notable single-day move — from 6.645% to 6.795% (pp = percentage points, not per cent).
- OBMMI — Jumbo 30-Year Fixed moved +0.180pp in a day to 6.769% Large moveA notable single-day move — from 6.589% to 6.769% (pp = percentage points, not per cent).
- OBMMI — LTV >80, FICO <680 moved -0.200pp in a day to 6.812% Large moveA notable single-day move — from 7.012% to 6.812% (pp = percentage points, not per cent).
- OBMMI — LTV ≤80, FICO 700–719 moved -0.181pp in a day to 6.578% Large moveA notable single-day move — from 6.759% to 6.578% (pp = percentage points, not per cent).
- OBMMI — LTV ≤80, FICO 680–699 moved +0.189pp in a day to 6.794% Large moveA notable single-day move — from 6.605% to 6.794% (pp = percentage points, not per cent).
- OBMMI — LTV ≤80, FICO 720–739 moved +0.169pp in a day to 6.806% Large moveA notable single-day move — from 6.637% to 6.806% (pp = percentage points, not per cent).
- OBMMI — LTV >80, FICO <680 moved +0.167pp in a day to 6.961% Large moveA notable single-day move — from 6.794% to 6.961% (pp = percentage points, not per cent).
- OBMMI — 15-Year Fixed Rate Conforming moved -0.162pp in a day to 5.953% Large move
- CY mortgage rates rose above GR for the first time since 2025-04 (3.33% vs 3.26%) Country crossover
2024
- Canada yield curve un-inverted — 2s10s back to +0.05pp Curve recovery
- US yield curve un-inverted — 2s10s back to +0.06pp Curve recovery
2022
- Canada yield curve inverted — 2s10s at -0.16pp Curve inversion
- US yield curve inverted — 2s10s at -0.08pp Curve inversion
- US yield curve un-inverted — 2s10s back to +0.11pp Curve recovery
- US yield curve inverted — 2s10s at -0.05pp Curve inversion
2020
- Canada yield curve un-inverted — 2s10s back to +0.05pp Curve recovery
2019
- Canada yield curve inverted — 2s10s at -0.06pp Curve inversion
- Canada yield curve un-inverted — 2s10s back to +0.05pp Curve recovery
- Canada yield curve inverted — 2s10s at -0.05pp Curve inversion
2007
- Canada yield curve un-inverted — 2s10s back to +0.05pp Curve recovery
- US yield curve un-inverted — 2s10s back to +0.08pp Curve recovery
- Canada yield curve inverted — 2s10s at -0.05pp Curve inversion
- US yield curve inverted — 2s10s at -0.05pp Curve inversion
- US yield curve un-inverted — 2s10s back to +0.09pp Curve recovery
2006
- US yield curve inverted — 2s10s at -0.05pp Curve inversion
- US yield curve un-inverted — 2s10s back to +0.06pp Curve recovery
- US yield curve inverted — 2s10s at -0.05pp Curve inversion
- US yield curve un-inverted — 2s10s back to +0.05pp Curve recovery
- US yield curve inverted — 2s10s at -0.05pp Curve inversion
2001
- US yield curve un-inverted — 2s10s back to +0.05pp Curve recovery
2000
- US yield curve inverted — 2s10s at -0.07pp Curve inversion
1998
- US yield curve un-inverted — 2s10s back to +0.05pp Curve recovery
- US yield curve inverted — 2s10s at -0.05pp Curve inversion
1990
- US yield curve un-inverted — 2s10s back to +0.05pp Curve recovery
- US yield curve inverted — 2s10s at -0.08pp Curve inversion