The Rate Engine

Canada: posted mortgage rates vs what borrowers actually pay

Canadian banks advertise a “posted” mortgage rate that almost nobody pays. The Bank of Canada publishes both the posted rate and the rate actually charged on new lending — so the size of the fiction is measurable.

1.74percentage points between the advertised rate and the real one.
Posted 5-year6.09%2026-09-09 · the advertised number
Actually charged, uninsured4.35%2026-06-01 · new lending
Actually charged, insured4.01%2026-06-01 · new lending

Why the posted rate exists at all

Posted rates are the published list price. In practice essentially every borrower negotiates a discount, so the posted rate functions less as a price than as a reference point — one that also feeds into mortgage penalty calculations and qualification tests, which is precisely why it matters that it is not the rate anyone pays.

The gap has ranged from 1.04pp to 2.85pp. When it widens, the advertised number is drifting further from reality.

Posted vs actually charged, 5-year fixed1975-01-012026-09-09
PostedActually charged
Table view — 220 observations
DatePostedActually charged
2026-09-096.09%
2026-06-106.09%
2026-03-256.09%
2026-01-076.09%
2025-10-296.09%
2025-08-066.09%
2025-05-286.09%
2025-03-126.49%
2024-12-256.49%
2024-10-096.49%
2024-08-015.11%
2024-05-226.84%
2024-03-015.51%
2023-12-207.04%
2023-10-015.79%
2023-07-196.49%
2023-05-036.49%
2023-02-156.49%
2022-11-306.49%
2022-09-146.14%
2022-07-014.05%
2022-04-134.79%
2022-02-012.81%
2021-11-104.79%
2021-08-254.79%
2021-06-094.79%
2021-03-314.79%
2021-01-134.79%
2020-11-044.79%
2020-08-264.79%
2020-06-034.94%
2020-03-185.04%
2020-01-015.19%2.97%
2019-10-165.19%
2019-08-012.9%
2019-05-225.34%
2019-03-013.61%
2018-12-195.34%
2018-10-035.34%
2018-07-185.34%
2018-05-025.14%
2018-02-215.14%
2017-12-064.99%
2017-09-204.84%
2017-07-054.64%
2017-04-264.64%
2017-02-084.64%
2016-11-234.64%
2016-09-074.64%
2016-06-294.64%
2016-04-064.64%
2016-01-274.64%
2015-11-114.64%
2015-09-012.76%
2015-06-104.64%
2015-03-254.74%
2015-01-074.79%
2014-10-294.79%
2014-08-064.79%
2014-05-284.79%
2014-03-124.99%
2013-12-255.34%
2013-10-095.34%
2013-07-315.14%
2013-05-225.14%
2013-03-013.07%
2012-12-195.24%
2012-09-195.24%
2012-06-205.24%
2012-03-215.24%
2011-12-215.29%
2011-09-215.19%
2011-06-225.39%
2011-03-235.34%
2010-12-225.19%
2010-09-225.39%
2010-06-235.99%
2010-03-245.25%
2009-12-235.49%
2009-09-235.49%
2009-06-245.85%
2009-03-255.55%
2008-12-246.75%
2008-10-017.2%
2008-07-027.15%
2008-04-027.19%
2008-01-027.54%
2007-10-037.19%
2007-07-047.24%
2007-04-046.44%
2007-01-036.45%
2006-10-046.6%
2006-07-056.95%
2006-04-056.45%
2006-01-046.3%
2005-10-055.8%
2005-07-065.7%
2005-04-066.25%
2005-01-056.05%
2004-10-066.3%
2004-07-076.7%
2004-04-145.95%
2004-01-146.35%
2003-10-156.15%
2003-07-166.2%
2003-04-166.85%
2003-01-156.45%
2002-10-166.7%
2002-07-177.25%
2002-04-177.3%
2002-01-166.85%
2001-10-177.05%
2001-07-187.75%
2001-04-187.5%
2001-01-177.75%
2000-10-188.25%
2000-07-198.25%
2000-04-198.35%
2000-01-198.55%
1999-10-278.25%
1999-07-287.75%
1999-04-286.95%
1999-01-276.9%
1998-10-286.75%
1998-07-296.95%
1998-04-296.95%
1998-01-286.85%
1997-10-296.7%
1997-07-307%
1997-04-307.65%
1997-01-297.25%
1996-10-307.2%
1996-07-318.5%
1996-05-018.5%
1996-01-317.8%
1995-11-018.7%
1995-08-028.95%
1995-05-108.88%
1995-02-0810.38%
1994-11-099.9%
1994-08-1010.25%
1994-05-119.5%
1994-02-097.25%
1993-11-107.75%
1993-08-118.75%
1993-05-128.95%
1993-02-109.5%
1992-11-119%
1992-08-128.75%
1992-05-1310.25%
1992-02-129.75%
1991-11-139.9%
1991-08-1411.5%
1991-05-1511.25%
1991-02-1311.75%
1990-11-1413.25%
1990-08-2213.5%
1990-05-2314.25%
1990-02-2112.75%
1989-11-2211.75%
1989-08-2311.75%
1989-05-2412%
1989-02-2212.25%
1988-11-2311.75%
1988-08-2412%
1988-05-2511.25%
1988-02-2411.5%
1987-11-2511.5%
1987-08-2611.5%
1987-05-2711.25%
1987-02-2510.5%
1986-11-2611.25%
1986-08-2711%
1986-05-2810.5%
1986-03-0511.75%
1985-12-0411.75%
1985-09-0411.75%
1985-06-0512.25%
1985-03-0613.5%
1984-12-0512.75%
1984-09-0514.25%
1984-06-0614.5%
1984-03-0712.5%
1983-12-0712.5%
1983-09-0714%
1983-06-0813%
1983-03-0913.5%
1982-12-0814.5%
1982-09-0817.75%
1982-06-0919.5%
1982-03-1019.5%
1981-12-0917.75%
1981-09-1621.75%
1981-06-1718.75%
1981-03-1816%
1980-12-1715.5%
1980-09-1714.5%
1980-06-1813%
1980-03-1915.25%
1979-12-1913.25%
1979-09-1912.75%
1979-06-2011.25%
1979-03-2111%
1978-12-2011.25%
1978-09-2010.75%
1978-06-2110.25%
1978-03-2210.25%
1977-12-2110.25%
1977-09-2110.25%
1977-06-2210.25%
1977-03-3010.25%
1976-12-2910.75%
1976-09-2911.75%
1976-06-3012%
1976-03-3111.75%
1975-12-3112%
1975-10-0112%
1975-07-0211%
1975-04-0210.5%
1975-01-0112%

The gap itself

Advertised minus actual2013-01-022026-09-09
Table view — 220 observations
DateGap
2026-09-091.74pp
2026-08-191.74pp
2026-07-221.74pp
2026-07-011.74pp
2026-06-101.74pp
2026-05-201.79pp
2026-04-221.92pp
2026-04-011.92pp
2026-03-111.87pp
2026-02-181.78pp
2026-01-211.76pp
2025-12-311.78pp
2025-12-101.78pp
2025-11-191.83pp
2025-10-221.69pp
2025-10-011.69pp
2025-09-101.72pp
2025-08-201.78pp
2025-07-231.82pp
2025-07-021.82pp
2025-06-111.84pp
2025-05-211.85pp
2025-04-232.19pp
2025-04-022.19pp
2025-03-121.97pp
2025-02-121.88pp
2025-01-221.9pp
2025-01-011.9pp
2024-12-111.88pp
2024-11-131.81pp
2024-10-231.67pp
2024-10-021.67pp
2024-09-111.86pp
2024-08-141.68pp
2024-07-241.64pp
2024-07-031.64pp
2024-06-121.63pp
2024-05-151.5pp
2024-04-241.54pp
2024-04-031.54pp
2024-03-131.33pp
2024-02-141.27pp
2024-01-241.22pp
2024-01-031.37pp
2023-12-131.08pp
2023-11-151.04pp
2023-10-251.25pp
2023-10-041.25pp
2023-09-131.15pp
2023-08-161.33pp
2023-07-261.18pp
2023-07-051.18pp
2023-06-071.37pp
2023-05-171.45pp
2023-04-261.41pp
2023-04-051.41pp
2023-03-081.38pp
2023-02-151.4pp
2023-01-251.29pp
2023-01-041.29pp
2022-12-071.27pp
2022-11-161.32pp
2022-10-261.48pp
2022-10-051.13pp
2022-09-071.34pp
2022-08-171.7pp
2022-07-272.09pp
2022-07-061.99pp
2022-06-081.69pp
2022-05-181.58pp
2022-04-271.73pp
2022-04-061.53pp
2022-03-091.77pp
2022-02-161.98pp
2022-01-262.18pp
2021-12-292.28pp
2021-12-082.28pp
2021-11-172.44pp
2021-10-272.57pp
2021-09-292.46pp
2021-09-082.46pp
2021-08-182.48pp
2021-07-282.51pp
2021-06-302.65pp
2021-06-092.65pp
2021-05-192.68pp
2021-04-282.76pp
2021-03-312.83pp
2021-03-102.83pp
2021-02-172.85pp
2021-01-272.83pp
2020-12-302.82pp
2020-12-092.82pp
2020-11-182.79pp
2020-10-282.74pp
2020-09-302.64pp
2020-09-092.64pp
2020-08-192.53pp
2020-07-222.48pp
2020-07-012.48pp
2020-06-102.34pp
2020-05-202.25pp
2020-04-222.33pp
2020-04-012.33pp
2020-03-112.41pp
2020-02-192.23pp
2020-01-222.22pp
2020-01-012.22pp
2019-12-112.25pp
2019-11-202.29pp
2019-10-232.34pp
2019-10-022.34pp
2019-09-112.34pp
2019-08-212.29pp
2019-07-242.23pp
2019-07-032.38pp
2019-06-122.22pp
2019-05-222.08pp
2019-04-241.94pp
2019-04-031.94pp
2019-03-131.73pp
2019-02-201.63pp
2019-01-231.57pp
2019-01-021.57pp
2018-12-121.57pp
2018-11-141.57pp
2018-10-241.69pp
2018-10-031.69pp
2018-09-121.71pp
2018-08-151.76pp
2018-07-251.84pp
2018-07-041.84pp
2018-06-131.83pp
2018-05-161.87pp
2018-04-251.71pp
2018-04-041.71pp
2018-03-141.73pp
2018-02-141.76pp
2018-01-241.81pp
2018-01-031.66pp
2017-12-131.7pp
2017-11-151.77pp
2017-10-251.91pp
2017-10-041.81pp
2017-09-131.89pp
2017-08-162.06pp
2017-07-262.17pp
2017-07-051.97pp
2017-06-071.96pp
2017-05-171.91pp
2017-04-261.83pp
2017-04-051.83pp
2017-03-081.82pp
2017-02-151.84pp
2017-01-251.92pp
2017-01-041.92pp
2016-12-072.01pp
2016-11-162.07pp
2016-10-262.07pp
2016-10-052.07pp
2016-09-072.07pp
2016-08-172.16pp
2016-07-272.15pp
2016-07-062.15pp
2016-06-082.01pp
2016-05-181.94pp
2016-04-271.84pp
2016-04-061.84pp
2016-03-091.74pp
2016-02-171.71pp
2016-01-271.78pp
2015-12-301.82pp
2015-12-091.82pp
2015-11-181.87pp
2015-10-281.88pp
2015-09-301.88pp
2015-09-091.88pp
2015-08-191.88pp
2015-07-291.9pp
2015-07-011.9pp
2015-06-101.89pp
2015-05-201.89pp
2015-04-291.84pp
2015-04-011.94pp
2015-03-111.87pp
2015-02-181.83pp
2015-01-281.7pp
2014-12-311.69pp
2014-12-101.69pp
2014-11-191.68pp
2014-10-291.72pp
2014-10-011.72pp
2014-09-101.7pp
2014-08-201.7pp
2014-07-301.7pp
2014-07-021.7pp
2014-06-111.68pp
2014-05-211.65pp
2014-04-231.58pp
2014-04-021.78pp
2014-03-121.57pp
2014-02-191.67pp
2014-01-221.58pp
2014-01-011.68pp
2013-12-111.67pp
2013-11-201.69pp
2013-10-231.81pp
2013-10-021.81pp
2013-09-111.98pp
2013-08-211.95pp
2013-07-242.07pp
2013-07-032.07pp
2013-06-122.16pp
2013-05-222.15pp
2013-04-242.13pp
2013-04-032.13pp
2013-03-132.07pp
2013-02-202.08pp
2013-01-232.06pp
2013-01-022.06pp

An important caveat about timing

The two series do not update at the same speed. Posted rates are published weekly; the rates actually charged come from monthly banking statistics that appear around three months in arrears. The comparison above pairs each posted observation with the most recent “actually charged” figure available at that time, which means the gap is directionally right but the most recent points lean on older actual-rate data. We do not interpolate to hide this.

Sources

Source
Bank of Canada
Observation date
Retrieved

Bank of Canada, Valet API.

Posted rates are an aggregate across the major chartered banks, not a per-institution figure — the Bank of Canada does not publish rates for individual banks. Rates charged cover new lending (“funds advanced”), not the average across existing mortgages.